Quantified Uncertainty Research Inst

EIN: 843847921 501(c)(3) Science & Technology

Berkeley, CA

Total Revenue
$679,300
Total Expenses
$284,817
Total Assets
$581,361
Net Assets
$581,361
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Financial Vulnerability Assessment (Tuckman-Chang)

4 risk indicators measuring financial stability and operational resilience

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Financial Trends

Organization Details

Formation Year
2019
Legal Domicile
CA
Principal Officer
Ozzie Gooen
Phone
2697296104
Tax Period
2022-01-01 to 2022-12-31

Quantified Uncertainty Research Inst, founded in 2019, is a small nonprofit in the Science & Technology sector that reported $679K in total revenue in fiscal year 2022. Revenue surged 27480% from the prior year, signaling strong growth momentum. The organization ran a surplus of $394K, a strong 58% operating margin.

Mission

To advance forecasting and epistemics for the aim of improving the long-term future of humanity.

Program Service Accomplishments

Program 1
Expenses: $255,127 Revenue: $679,300

QURI researches systematic practices to specify and estimate the most important parameters for the most important or scalable decisions. Research areas include forecasting, epistemics, evaluations...

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QURI researches systematic practices to specify and estimate the most important parameters for the most important or scalable decisions. Research areas include forecasting, epistemics, evaluations, ontology, and estimation. In 2022, the organization did a mix of writing and software engineering. QURI released Squiggle, a new programming language for simple estimation using probability distributions. QURI held two prizes for estimation using Squiggle: a $1,000 prize for simple Squiggle models and a $5,000 prize for estimating the social value of certain careers. QURI released around 20 blog posts and research documents.

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Trantor Score

Financial Health Score (300–850) · Liquidity · Solvency · Sustainability · Efficiency

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Liquidity (40%) • Solvency (30%) • Sustainability (20%) • Efficiency (10%)

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Financial Overview (2022)

Revenue Breakdown

Contributions & Grants $679,300
Program Service Revenue $0
Investment Income $0
Other Revenue $0
TOTAL REVENUE $679,300

Expense Breakdown

Grants Paid $0
Salaries & Benefits $79,881
Fundraising Expenses $0
Program Expenses $255,127
Other Expenses $204,936
TOTAL EXPENSES $284,817

Year-over-Year Comparison

2022 2021 Change
Revenue $679,300 $2,463 +274.8%
Expenses $284,817 $85,231 +2.3%
Net Income $394,483 $-82,768 -5.8%
Key Indicators
✗ Grants to Organizations ✗ Grants to Individuals ✗ Lobbying ✗ Political Activity ✗ Foreign Activities ✗ Donor Advised Fund ✓ Schedule B Required
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Financial Health Indicators

Comprehensive financial analysis: Altman Z-Score, liquidity, solvency, sustainability, efficiency, and growth metrics

Financial Distress Indicator

Liquidity & Cash Position

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Altman Z-Score • Liquidity Ratios • Solvency Analysis • Growth Indicators • Efficiency Metrics

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Governance

Voting Members
3
Independent Members
2
Employees
1
Volunteers
N/A

Governance Policies

✗ Conflict of Interest Policy
✗ Whistleblower Policy
✗ Document Retention Policy

Special Practices & Reported Activities

✗ Operated a School
✗ Operated a Hospital
✗ Provided First Class Travel
✗ Reported Conflict of Interest
✗ Reported Asset Diversion
✗ Excess Benefit Transaction
✗ Made Political Expenditures
✗ Engaged in Lobbying
✗ Operated Donor Advised Fund
✗ Maintained Art Collections
✗ Filed Form 720

Compensation of Officers, Directors & Key Employees

Total Officers
3
$74,796
Total Directors
3
$74,796
Key Employees
0
$0
Highest Compensated
0
reported
Name Title Hours/Week Role Reportable Comp Other Comp Total
Ozzie Gooen President 40.00
Officer Director
$68,719 $6,077 $74,796
Ben Goldhaber Treasurer 1.00
Officer Director
$0 $0 $0
Andrew Critch Secretary 1.00
Officer Director
$0 $0 $0
Note: Compensation data is self-reported by the organization on their Form 990. "Reportable Comp" includes salary, bonuses, and other reportable compensation from the organization and related organizations. "Other Comp" includes benefits, deferred compensation, and non-taxable benefits.

Historical Data

Year Revenue Expenses Assets Net Income
2022 $679,300 $284,817 $581,361 $394,483
2020 $290,538 $20,892 $269,646 $269,646
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